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China's opening-up an opportunity for ASEAN

By Siwage Dharma Negara | China Daily | Updated: 2026-02-24 06:58
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When China talks about opening up in the context of the 15th Five-Year Plan, it is not just reviving an old slogan and hoping for commendation. What is unfolding is a subtler, more ambitious strategy: institutional opening-up, restructuring rules, harmonizing with global norms and building new platforms for cross-border trade and investment. For China's trade partners, from ASEAN neighbors to bigger players such as the European Union and members of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, this promises new opportunities. But it also raises strategic and implementation challenges.

What is striking about China's current push is its pivot from tariff reductions to deep governance reforms. Instead of the headline-grabbing tariff cuts of the 1990s and the World Trade Organization accession era, Beijing today is focused on aligning domestic regulatory structures with high-standard trade rule platforms, such as the CPTPP and the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement. This signals an intent not just to open markets but to institutionalize openness in ways that can survive external shocks and geopolitical headwinds.

China's leadership wants to ensure its trade architecture is not reactive but rules-based and proactive. That is why institutional reforms, not just a simple fine tuning of the customs duty, are now the main course. China wants to be a responsible rule-maker, not just a powerful rule-taker.

Its decision to align with the CPTPP and DEPA is a recognition that a huge market alone will not attract global trade and investment flows. Aligning with high-standard trade rules means better intellectual property protections, more transparent government procurement processes, strengthened competition rules and clearer cross-border data governance.

From the perspective of foreign businesses, and ASEAN firms in particular, this could be transformative. Imagine an Indonesian digital services firm trying to export software or a Malaysian manufacturing supplier negotiating IP protections and dispute mechanisms that are predictable and internationally recognizable. These are precisely the sort of changes that high-standard trade rules are designed to ensure.

For a real-world illustration, look to Hainan's evolution. What was once an aspirational free trade zone is now island-wide special customs operations, exempting roughly 74 percent of tariff categories and allowing duty-free inland entry for sufficiently value-added products processed on the island.

For ASEAN exporters such as Vietnamese parts makers or Singaporean logistics firms, Hainan offers a sandbox to test new models of supply-chain cooperation. The port is also being prepared as a hub for the services trade, digital commerce and logistics. It is a 21st-century trade platform that does not just move goods faster but weaves regional supply chains more tightly together.

Yet the buzz around Hainan also reveals a core tension. Even as tariff barriers drop, regulatory barriers, especially in services, capital flows and data rules, remain complex. The world has yet to fully solve how to govern data in cross-border commerce. Firms, particularly SMEs from ASEAN, will need to invest in compliance complexities from the outset.

There are tangible gains on the table. Enhanced market access for goods and services, especially through negative lists, greater predictability in IP and competition regimes as China backfills its legal frameworks to match partners' expectations, new regional hubs like Hainan that can complement existing nodes in Singapore, Vietnam or Malaysia and a chance for ASEAN economies to plug into China's large domestic consumption market more deeply.

But these opportunities come with caveats. For one, pilot reforms in FTZs can take time to become mainstream practice. What works in Shanghai or Hainan might never fully scale nationwide due to local rules and conditions. And while China's foreign trade law revision explicitly references alignment with CPTPP standards, it also enhances tools for managing trade conflicts, revealing a simultaneous impulse toward control and opening-up.

Here is where it gets interesting. China's institutional opening-up is not just an economic tactic. It is a geopolitical strategy. By tightening rule coherence with partners across the Asia-Pacific, Beijing is slowly building an alternative economic architecture that could rival Western-centric frameworks. For ASEAN nations like Indonesia, that means both an opportunity and a strategic balancing act.

Do you deepen engagement with China's high-standard initiatives and risk overdependence? Or do you hedge more with other frameworks like the EU, CPTPP outside China and RCEP?The answer is not an either-or. It is a practical multi-vector engagement strategy that leverages China's market while building resilience through diversification.

In conclusion, China's 15th Five-Year Plan institutional opening-up will not be a silver bullet. It is a complex juggernaut, part openness, part strategic orchestration, part regulatory evolution. For ASEAN partners, this represents a historic opportunity to enhance trade, investment and services cooperation. But seizing this opportunity means engaging with regulatory reform, not just market access.

It also means recognizing that China's opening-up is not a one-way street. It is a negotiated, co-constructed ecosystem where opportunity and challenge are inseparable.

The author is a senior fellow of ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore.

The views don't necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

If you have a specific expertise, or would like to share your thought about our stories, then send us your writings at opinion@chinadaily.com.cn, and comment@chinadaily.com.cn.

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